Thursday, May 1, 2008

Hype


Media, let's make it look worse than it is.

Despite the media's best efforts this year to create panic, the economy moved through the first quarter, growing at just a 0.6 percent pace as housing and credit problems forced people and businesses to buckle down.

Just to get things straight, here is the definition of recession.

Recession:
A significant decline in activity spread across the economy, lasting longer than a few months. It is visible in industrial production, employment, real income and wholesale-retail trade. The technical indicator of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country's gross domestic product (GDP).

The other day I heard President Bush referred to the economy as being in a rut. I think the official word is growth recession.

Growth Recession:
An expression coined by economists to describe an economy that is growing at such a slow pace that more jobs are being lost than are being added. The lack of job creation makes it feel as if the economy is in a recession, even though the economy is still advancing.

Many economists believe that between 2002 and 2003, the United States' economy was in a growth recession. In fact, at several points over the past 25 years the U.S. economy is said to have experienced a growth recession. That is, in spite of gains in real GDP, job growth was either non-existent or was being destroyed at a faster rate than new jobs were being added.

The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point Wednesday, but the central bank's statement signaled it may be the last rate cut for at least a while. So, if you are considering buying or refinancing, now is the time.

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Thursday, February 7, 2008

Recession-Proof Yourself

I recently came across an article by Mary Dalrymple and she had a few good points about dealing with a recession.


Do not invest your grocery money in stocks. Just because the market took a steep dive keep the steady investing up every month and plan for the long run with the dollar cost averaging. This gives you plenty of time to weather the market’s cyclical ups and downs.

Take risks that let you sleep at night. Stocks will go up, and stocks will come down. If this rule has you reaching for a sleep aid, diversify your investments to match your tolerance for risk. Dave Ramsey recommends noload mutual funds and to put 25% into each of these four types of funds: Growth, Growth & Income, Aggressive Growth and International.

If it seems too good to be true, it is. Now that the market took a dive, my inbox gets loaded with different stock advice for some real winners, especially penny stocks that offer 400% returns. Plan for the worst-case scenario. Have a fully funded emergency fund, that is 3-6 months of living expenses saved.

Let your conscience be your debt guide. If times are tight for your family, you might not need that extra pair of shoes or eating out every other night. Actually, writing out a budget and sticking to it, can show you where you money is really going.

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